Ocean state rising: Storm simulation and vulnerability mapping to predict hurricane impacts for Rhode Island's critical infrastructure.

Predicting the consequences of a major coastal storm is increasingly difficult as the result of global climate change and growing societal dependence on critical infrastructure (CI). Past storms are no longer a reliable predictor of future weather events, and the traditional approach to vulnerability assessment presents accumulated loss in largely quantitative terms that lack the specificity local emergency managers need to develop effective plans and mitigation strategies. The Rhode Island Coastal Hazards Modeling and Prediction (RI-CHAMP) system is a geographic information system (GIS)-based modeling tool that combines high-resolution storm simulations with geolocated vulnerability data to predict specific consequences based on local concerns about impacts to CI. This case study discusses implementing RI-CHAMP for the State of Rhode Island to predict impacts of wind and inundation on its CI during a hurricane, tropical storm, or nor'easter. This paper addresses the collection and field verification of vulnerability data, along with RI-CHAMP's process for integrating those data with storm models. The project deeply engaged end-users (emergency managers, facility managers, and other stakeholders) in developing RI-CHAMP's ArcGIS Online dashboard to ensure it provides specific, actionable data. The results of real and synthetic storm models are presented along with discussion of how the data in these simulations are being used by state and local emergency managers, facility owners, and others.

Driving after substance use in Rhode Island adolescents: A cross-sectional analysis of surveillance data.

OBJECTIVE: Existing literature on driving under the influence during adolescence is sparse, especially for driving after the use of non-medical prescription drugs (DAP). This study examines the prevalence of driving after use of alcohol (DAA), cannabis (DAC), and DAP, and examines the role of several potential risk and protective factors. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of the 2022 Rhode Island Study Survey, a cross-sectional survey of middle and high school students. Separate multivariable regressions were conducted for each outcome among lifetime users for each substance, controlling for current substance use, individual-, perceived parental-, and perceived friend-substance use risk perception, age, sexual/gender minority (SGM) status, race, ethnicity, school level, and town poverty level. RESULTS: Among lifetime users of alcohol (n = 3849), cannabis (n = 2289), and non-medical prescription drugs (n = 611), the prevalence of DAA, DAC, and DAP was 4.9, 14.3, and 16.9%, respectively. Current substance use, high individual risk perception, being nonwhite, and being Hispanic were risk factors for DAA while perceiving parent's risk perception as negative and being heterosexual cisgender-female were protective. Current substance use, negative individual risk perception, and being nonwhite were risk factors for DAC while perceiving parent's risk perception as negative and being in high school were protective. Current substance use and older age were risk factors for DAP while perceiving parent's risk perception as negative and perceiving friend's risk perception as negative were protective. CONCLUSIONS: Driving under the influence is a concern among adolescent substance users. Current substance use and perceived parental risk perception as negative are common risks and protective factors, respectively. Findings suggest substance-specific, heterogeneous interventions are needed. For example, interventions focusing on peer perceptions are most relevant for DAP, while shifting personal perceptions of harm are most relevant for DAC.

Infections Associated with Medtronic Duet External Ventricular Drains - Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, Rhode Island, January 2023-January 2024.

External ventricular drains (EVDs) are medical devices that are inserted into the ventricles of the brain to drain excess fluid, manage intracranial hypertension, monitor intracranial pressure, and administer medications. Unintentional disconnections and breaks or fractures (breaks) of EVDs or associated drainage system components can result in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leakage and increased risk for EVD-associated infections. After replacement of Integra Life Sciences EVD systems with Medtronic Duet EVD systems at Rhode Island Hospital in mid-September 2023, a threefold increase was observed in the prevalence of positive CSF cultures, from 2.8 per 1,000 days with an EVD in place (EVD days) during January-September 2023 to 11.4 per 1,000 EVD days during October 2023-January 2024 (rate ratio [RR] = 5.7; 95% CI = 1.5-22.0; p = 0.01) and an eightfold increase in the prevalence of infections, from 0.7 to 6.5 per 1,000 EVD days (RR = 9.8; 95% CI = 1.1-87.3; p = 0.04). An investigation by Rhode Island Hospital Infection Control during December 2023-January 2024 identified frequent reports of disconnections and breaks of the Medtronic Duet EVD system. A search of the Food and Drug Administration Manufacturer and User Facility Device Experience database identified 326 reports nationwide of disconnection and breaks of components of the Duet EVD system, including 175 during 2023. A Medical Product Safety Network report was filed. The Duet EVD product was ultimately recalled in January 2024, citing disconnections of the EVD system and reports of CSF leakage and infection. Given the widespread use of EVD systems by neurosurgery centers and the risk for EVD-associated infections, a strategy for future consideration by hospital infection prevention and control programs might be inclusion of EVD-associated infections in hospital surveillance programs to rapidly identify increases in these events and determine factors related to such infections to prevent additional infections.

Pediatric Injury Trends in Rhode Island During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric Emergency Department (PED) visits nationally decreased while the proportion of injury-related PED visits increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Little is known about the trends in Rhode Island (RI). METHODS: This is a planned sub-analysis of RI data from a retrospective study of pediatric injury-related visits to 40 PEDs for children <18 years old from January 2019-December 2020. We calculated frequencies and compared patient demographics, injury types, severity, and mechanisms for 3/17/2019-12/31/2019 (pre-COVID-19) versus 3/15/2020-12/31/2020 (study period). RESULTS: Despite a 31.4% decrease in total injury-related PED visits from 2019 to 2020, the proportion of injury-related PED visits increased by 8.1% (p<0.001) in 2020. The mean age of patients decreased from 8.3 (SD 5.4) to 7.7 (SD 5.4) years old (p<0.0001), with a higher proportion of female (p=0.0018), privately insured (p=0.0274), and non-Hispanic White children (p<0.001) in 2020. There was a higher proportion of trauma activations, admissions, and injuries caused by intentional self-harm (all p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In RI, the total number of injury-related PED visits decreased while the proportion of injury-related PED visits increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, similar to national trends. There were significant demographic, mechanism, and intent shifts among injured patients, highlighting epidemiologic changes during the pandemic and identifying high-risk groups that would benefit from targeted education and interventions.

Bystander Presence and Response During Accidental and Undetermined Drug Overdose Deaths: Rhode Island, January 1, 2016-December 31, 2021.

With timely intervention from a bystander, drug overdose victims are more likely to survive. To characterize the frequency of bystander presence and identify overdose response barriers, we analyzed data from overdose fatalities occurring in Rhode Island from 2016 to 2021. Overall, about half (n=1,039; 48.7%) of all overdose deaths in Rhode Island had at least one bystander present. Among decedents who had at least one bystander who was unable to respond (n=338), top reasons of non-response were because they were spatially separated (64.8%), failed to recognize the signs of overdose (54.1%), or were unaware the victim was using drugs (40.2%). To promote by- stander presence and address barriers to bystander response during an overdose, intervention strategies should include efforts that reduce solitary drug use and maximize bystander efficacy, including increasing awareness on the dangers of using drugs alone, increasing the availability of naloxone, and education on recognizing signs of overdose.

Primary Care Access for All: A Roadmap for Addressing the Primary Care Crisis in Rhode Island.

BACKGROUND: Primary care in Rhode Island is in crisis. The dearth of primary care providers is already affecting access to services and the situation is likely to worsen unless major steps are taken. There are inadequate numbers of trainees in primary care medical residencies, nurse practitioner (NP) and physician assistant (PA) training programs who plan to practice primary care in our state. The Care Transformation Collaborative of RI (CTC-RI) has assembled a broadly representative task force of physicians, NPs, PAs, and others to build a strong and robust primary care delivery system across the state that recruits, trains, retains, and sustains primary care providers. Study Methods and Design: Program directors from all primary care medical residencies, NP, and PA programs were asked to provide data on their programs, including the number of new trainees per year, total enrollment, and information on recent year graduates, including the total number, the number entering primary care, and the number entering primary care who plan to practice in RI. PRIMARY RESULTS: Of the 106 graduates from primary care residencies in RI in academic year 2002-23, only 15 (14%) planned to provide primary care in Rhode Island. Similarly, of the 144 NP and PA graduates in primary care programs, only 48 (33%) planned to provide primary care in the state. PRINCIPAL CONCLUSIONS: Given the high rate of primary care provider burnout, reduction in patient care hours, and retirement, primary care access will be further eroded unless major steps are taken. The CTC-RI Task Force on Primary Care Provider Workforce has produced a strategic roadmap to address these issues.

'I am because you are': Community support as a bridge to mental wellbeing for resettled African refugee women living in Rhode Island.

African refugee women resettled in the United States are exposed to multiple risk factors for poor mental health. Currently, no comprehensive framework exists on which to guide mental health interventions specific to this population. Through a community-based participatory research partnership, we interviewed N = 15 resettled African refugees living in Rhode Island. Here we (1) describe how meanings of mental health within the African refugee community vary from US understandings of PTSD, depression, and anxiety and (2) generate a framework revealing how mental health among participants results from interactions between social support, African sociocultural norms, and US norms and systems. Multiple barriers and facilitators of mental wellbeing lie at the intersections of these three primary concepts. We recommend that public health and medicine leverage the strength of existing community networks and organisations to address the heavy burden of poor mental health among resettled African refugee women.

Public Health Dashboards in Overdose Prevention: The Rhode Island Approach to Public Health Data Literacy, Partnerships, and Action.

As the field of public health rises to the demands of real-time surveillance and rapid data-sharing needs in a postpandemic world, it is time to examine our approaches to the dissemination and accessibility of such data. Distinct challenges exist when working to develop a shared public health language and narratives based on data. It requires that we assess our understanding of public health data literacy, revisit our approach to communication and engagement, and continuously evaluate our impact and relevance. Key stakeholders and cocreators are critical to this process and include people with lived experience, community organizations, governmental partners, and research institutions. In this viewpoint paper, we offer an instructive approach to the tools we used, assessed, and adapted across 3 unique overdose data dashboard projects in Rhode Island, United States. We are calling this model the "Rhode Island Approach to Public Health Data Literacy, Partnerships, and Action." This approach reflects the iterative lessons learned about the improvement of data dashboards through collaboration and strong partnerships across community members, state agencies, and an academic research team. We will highlight key tools and approaches that are accessible and engaging and allow developers and stakeholders to self-assess their goals for their data dashboards and evaluate engagement with these tools by their desired audiences and users.

Weight Recovery in an Outpatient Medical Eating Disorders Clinic: A Retrospective Review.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to identify rates of weight recovery among adolescents and young adults with restrictive eating disorders (RED) as part of a quality improvement assessment in an Adolescent Medicine outpatient clinic in Rhode Island. METHODS: A retrospective chart review was completed on 94 randomly selected patients ages 10-21 years old. Demographics, descriptors, time to weight recovery, and participation in other care were recorded. RESULTS: The average age of participants was 15 years; most were female, cis-gender, White, had private insurance, and had one or more co-morbid psychiatric diagnosis. At intake, 81% were <95% treatment goal weight (TGW), with 27% at <80% TGW. Among participants who started at <95% of TGW, 51% achieved ≥95% of TGW; participants who engaged in a higher level of care were more successful. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies outcomes and highlights the challenge of weight recovery among patients with RED, even when managed by an expert clinical team.

Increasing Incidence of Gonorrhea at an Urban STI Clinic in the United States.

Medical record data was extracted from a sexually transmitted infection (STI) clinic in Providence, Rhode Island to characterize trends in Neisseria gonorrhoeae (GC) infection and explore risk factors. Of 16,601 clinical encounters, 6% (n=991) tested GC positive: 5.28 GC case rate (per 100 encounters) in the first two years of data collection (2015-2016) and 7.04 in the last two years (2020-2021). Analysis suggested a single linear trend line over time (p<.05). Overall, in more recent years, patients were older and more like to identify as male, Black, and Hispanic/Latino, as well as to have reported a previous STI, current symptoms, and specific risk behaviors. GC-positive patients in 2020-2021 were older and more like to identify as female and Black compared to 2015-2016. Lower rates of condom use were especially salient among female patients. These findings may reflect GC trends in the community.

Overdosing in a Motor Vehicle: Examination of Human, Geographic, and Environmental Factors.

BACKGROUND: Fentanyl, a type of opioid, in impaired driving cases increased across cities in the United States. OBJECTIVES: No empirical studies have examined motor vehicle overdoses with fentanyl use. We investigated the magnitude of the motor vehicle overdose problem in Providence, RI, and the environmental, socioeconomic, and geographic conditions associated with motor vehicle overdose occurrence. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational study of emergency medical services data on all suspected opioid overdoses between January 1, 2017, and October 31, 2020. The data contain forced-choice fields, such as age and biological sex, and an open-ended narrative in which the paramedic documented clinical and situational information. The overdoses were geocoded, allowing for the extraction of sociodemographic data from the U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey. Seven other data sources were included in a logistic regression to understand key risk factors and spatial patterns of motor vehicle overdoses. RESULTS: Of the 1,357 opioid overdose cases in this analysis, 15.2% were defined as motor vehicle overdoses. In adjusted models, we found a 61% increase in the odds of a motor vehicle overdose involvement for men versus women, a 16.8% decrease in the odds of a motor vehicle overdose for a one-unit increase in distance to the nearest gas station, and a 10.7% decrease in the odds of a motor vehicle overdose for a one-unit increase in distance to a buprenorphine clinic. CONCLUSION: There is a need to understand the interaction between drug use in vehicles to design interventions for decreasing driving after illicit drug use.

Association between willingness to use an overdose prevention center and probation or parole status among people who use drugs in Rhode Island.

BACKGROUND: Overdose prevention centers (OPCs) are being implemented in the United States as a strategy to reduce drug-related mortality and morbidity. Previous studies have suggested that people who use drugs (PWUD) with a history of criminal legal system (CLS) involvement (e.g. current probation/parole) are at greater risk of overdose but may also encounter significant barriers to OPC use. The objective of this study was to explore the association between willingness to use an OPC and probation/parole status in a sample of PWUD in Rhode Island. METHODS: This study utilized data from the Rhode Island Prescription and Illicit Drug Study, which enrolled adult PWUD from August 2020 to February 2023. We used Pearson's chi-square and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests to assess bivariate associations between willingness to use an OPC and probation/parole status (current/previous/never), as well as other sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics. In multivariable Poisson analyses, we examined the association between willingness to use an OPC and probation/parole status, adjusting for key sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics. RESULTS: Among 482 study participants, 67% were male, 56% identified as white, 20% identified as Hispanic/Latine, and the median age was 43 (IQR 35-53). Nearly a quarter (24%) had never been on probation/parole, 44% were not currently on probation/parole but had a lifetime history of probation and parole, and 32% were currently on probation/parole. Most participants (71%) reported willingness to use an OPC, and in both bivariate and multivariable analyses, willingness to use an OPC did not vary by probation/parole status. Crack cocaine use and lifetime non-fatal overdose were associated with greater willingness to use an OPC (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate high willingness to use OPC among PWUD in Rhode Island regardless of CLS-involvement. As OPCs begin to be implemented in Rhode Island, it will be imperative to engage people with CLS-involvement and to ensure access to the OPC and protection against re-incarceration due to potential barriers, such as police surveillance of OPCs.

Rhode Island (RI) Women's Breast Cancer Mammography Use Prior to and After Cancer Diagnosis: Linkage of RI Cancer Registry Data With RI All-Payer Claims Database.

OBJECTIVE: A limitation of the central cancer registries to examine associations between mammography use and cancer diagnosis is their lack of cancer screening history. To fill this measurement gap, Rhode Island Cancer Registry (RICR) breast cancer (BC) records were linked to Rhode Island-all-payer claims database (RI-APCD) to study Rhode Island (RI) women's regular mammography use and identify its predictors. METHODS: From the linked 2011-2019 data, we identified 4 study cohorts: (1) women who ever received mammography by Women's Cancer Screening Program (WCSP) and were diagnosed with BC ("WCSP-BC" cohort: n = 149), (2) women diagnosed with BC outside of WCSP (BC-control cohort: n = 4304), (3) women with a history of mammography use at WCSP but no BC diagnosis (n = 6513), and (4) general RI women with no BC diagnosis (n = 15 121). Logistic regressions were conducted to identify predictors of regular mammography use. RESULTS: The linkage for RI-APCD and RICR for our study had a high matching rate of 82%. Mammography use prior to BC diagnosis was not different between the WCSP-BC cohort and the BC-control cohort (58% vs 57%). Women in the BC-control cohort who had mammography in 2 years prior to their cancer diagnosis were more likely of being diagnosed at an early-stage disease. Among BC-control group, women with no anxiety/depression or with no preventive examinations were less likely of regular mammography use. Among women with no BC, a lower proportion of women with a history of screening at WCSP had regular mammography use, compared with the general RI women (38% vs 66%). CONCLUSION: RI-APCD data linkage with RICR provides excellent opportunities to examine regular mammography use among RI women and compare their outcomes to the general women population in the state. We identified opportunities for improving their mammography use. A measurement gap in the central cancer registries can be effectively reduced by utilizing statewide claims database.

Characterizing opioid overdose hotspots for place-based overdose prevention and treatment interventions: A geo-spatial analysis of Rhode Island, USA.

OBJECTIVE: Examine differences in neighborhood characteristics and services between overdose hotspot and non-hotspot neighborhoods and identify neighborhood-level population factors associated with increased overdose incidence. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective analysis of Rhode Island, USA residents who had a fatal or non-fatal overdose from 2016 to 2020 using an environmental scan and data from Rhode Island emergency medical services, State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System, and the American Community Survey. We conducted a spatial scan via SaTScan to identify non-fatal and fatal overdose hotspots and compared the characteristics of hotspot and non-hotspot neighborhoods. We identified associations between census block group-level characteristics using a Besag-York-Mollié model specification with a conditional autoregressive spatial random effect. RESULTS: We identified 7 non-fatal and 3 fatal overdose hotspots in Rhode Island during the study period. Hotspot neighborhoods had higher proportions of Black and Latino/a residents, renter-occupied housing, vacant housing, unemployment, and cost-burdened households. A higher proportion of hotspot neighborhoods had a religious organization, a health center, or a police station. Non-fatal overdose risk increased in a dose responsive manner with increasing proportions of residents living in poverty. There was increased relative risk of non-fatal and fatal overdoses in neighborhoods with crowded housing above the mean (RR 1.19 [95 % CI 1.05, 1.34]; RR 1.21 [95 % CI 1.18, 1.38], respectively). CONCLUSION: Neighborhoods with increased prevalence of housing instability and poverty are at highest risk of overdose. The high availability of social services in overdose hotspots presents an opportunity to work with established organizations to prevent overdose deaths.

Assessing Utility of 24-Hour Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring to Distinguish Pediatric Populations Presenting with Elevated Blood Pressure in Rhode Island.

This retrospective study aimed to assess the value of 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) in distinguishing primary from secondary hypertension in pediatric patients. Our study was conducted on 293 patients referred to a pediatric nephrology clinic over 11 years. Various ABPM parameters were analyzed, including daytime and nighttime systolic and diastolic blood pressures, heart rate, and blood pressure load. Among the participants, 74% were normotensive (white-coat hypertension), 21.5% had primary hypertension, and 4.4% had secondary hypertension. There were no significant differences in the analyzed variables between primary and secondary hypertension groups. Our findings suggest that ABPM might not reliably differentiate between the two in this cohort. As white-coat hypertension becomes more prevalent, ABPM remains a valuable tool in preventing unnecessary workups in children without sustained hypertension. However, our study did not identify specific endpoints for distinguishing primary from secondary hypertension.

PROVIDENT: Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Model to Predict Neighborhood-level Overdose Risk in Rhode Island.

BACKGROUND: Drug overdose persists as a leading cause of death in the United States, but resources to address it remain limited. As a result, health authorities must consider where to allocate scarce resources within their jurisdictions. Machine learning offers a strategy to identify areas with increased future overdose risk to proactively allocate overdose prevention resources. This modeling study is embedded in a randomized trial to measure the effect of proactive resource allocation on statewide overdose rates in Rhode Island (RI). METHODS: We used statewide data from RI from 2016 to 2020 to develop an ensemble machine learning model predicting neighborhood-level fatal overdose risk. Our ensemble model integrated gradient boosting machine and super learner base models in a moving window framework to make predictions in 6-month intervals. Our performance target, developed a priori with the RI Department of Health, was to identify the 20% of RI neighborhoods containing at least 40% of statewide overdose deaths, including at least one neighborhood per municipality. The model was validated after trial launch. RESULTS: Our model selected priority neighborhoods capturing 40.2% of statewide overdose deaths during the test periods and 44.1% of statewide overdose deaths during validation periods. Our ensemble outperformed the base models during the test periods and performed comparably to the best-performing base model during the validation periods. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated the capacity for machine learning models to predict neighborhood-level fatal overdose risk to a degree of accuracy suitable for practitioners. Jurisdictions may consider predictive modeling as a tool to guide allocation of scarce resources.